The Small Steps of Giant Leaps – Compounding Small Actions in Investing and Trading

The headline “The Small Steps of Giant Leaps” is “stolen” from a blog post published on Farnham Street. What is Farnham Street? There is no coincidence that the webpage is called Farnham Street. Shane Parrish, the founder of Farnham Street, simply used the address of his favourite company: Berkshire Hathaway, 3555 Farnam Street. Parrish is…

Fabian Market Timing Model – What Is It? (Video, Performance, Strategy Rules, and Backtest)

Today we will look at another trend following strategy developed by a famous fund manager long ago. It’s called Fabian Timing Model and was developed by Richard Fabian in the 1960s. The Fabian timing model is a simple quantitative long-term trend following strategy for the stock market. It is based on an intermarket signal between the…

The Best Trading Hour For: Gold, Oil, Silver, SP500, and Swiss Franc

What trading hour is the best? Does the time of day make a difference when trading? When should you buy and sell during the trading day? We test: Gold, Oil, Silver, SP500, and Swiss Franc Seasonal trading strategies can take many forms in any time frame. This article looks at intraday data for some of…

Retail Stocks Trading Strategies – (Seasonalities, Setups and Backtest Analysis)

A few months back we published an article about seasonality in the retail sector: Our article was based on research done by Jay Kaeppel. Mr. Kaeppel did a follow up some few months later, but this time he included two slightly different retail funds by fidelity: The biggest holdings of FDFAX are these: The biggest…

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio: Allocations, Performance, and Returns Analysis

The Gibson Talmud Portfolio by Roger Gibson aims to diversify investments across US stocks, REITs and bonds. The Gibson Talmud Portfolio strategy can be implemented with only 3 ETFs, of which 33.34% are US stocks, 33.33% are US REITs and 33.33% are mid-term treasury bonds. You do not need to pick individual stocks and bonds….

What Happens the Day After S&P 500 (SPY) Is Down? Backtest of a Potential Strategy

One of the most known factors in investing is momentum. Momentum states that an asset that has been going up is more likely to keep going up in the future than to fall. It has been widely researched by academia and proven by multiple studies that it works. However, in the short term, the story…

Macro Index Spread Trading Strategy – Macroeconomic Trading: Rules, Performance, Video Analysis

Most retail investors focus on companies’ fundamentals or valuations when deciding where to invest. But another important aspect to consider is in what context these companies operate: Is the economy growing or in a recession? What is the unemployment rate? Is inflation high? This is where macroeconomics enter. Macroeconomic trading is one of the most…

A Fine Example of an Overnight Trading Strategy: Rules, Backtest, Video Analysis

Mean reversion has worked very well on most Western stock indices for about four decades since the advent of futures trading. It has worked even better during the bull market after the financial crisis in 2008/09. Perhaps counterintuitive, long strategies have worked better in bear than bull markets. Please read our anatomy of a bear…