Adaptive Moving Average Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Adaptive moving average strategy backtest (Kaufman’s adaptive moving average) We know that traditional moving averages smoothen price series to reduce noise and show the trend. However, when price makes a temporary but significant leap, it can still give the appearance of a false trend. This is why Perry J. Kaufman invented the adaptive moving average….

Smoothed Moving Average (Wilder’s) Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Smoothed moving average (Wilder’s) strategy backtest The smoothed moving average is not as common as other moving average indicators, but you will come across it in your trading journey. So, it’s good to know what it means. Can a smoother moving average be used profitably in the stock market? Yes, smoothed moving average strategies do…

Variable Moving Average Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Variable moving average strategy backtest Traders have always looked for ways to improve the performance of the exponential moving average, and using a volatility index (VI) to adjust the smoothing period as market conditions change has given rise to the variable moving average. But do you know what it is? And do you know if…

Weighted Moving Average Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Weighted moving average strategy backtest Some simply call it weighted moving average, while others call it a linearly weighted moving average. They are referring to the same indicator, which is one of the most popular and widely used MA indicators on most trading platforms. But what is it? And do you know if a weighted…

What Happens When Stock Markets Are Overbought? Historical Analysis

When stock markets are overbought, we can expect weaker returns than average over the next few days. But in the long term, returns gravitate toward the average returns. Thus, overbought stock markets only predict short-term results – not long-term. This article tries to answer what happens when stock markets are overbought. Overbought means that markets…

11 Volatility Trading Strategies: Backtest, Rules, and Performance Insights

Volatility trading strategies can be very profitable. As an example, we show you an equity curve that only trades when volatility is above what is “normal”. We use a 200-day moving average as a filter for when we want to enter a trade. Because the volatility picks up when investors are “panicking”, we only look…

Trading Edge: What is it and how to find them

How to find trading edges in the markets is crucial for surviving as a trader. The financial markets are a competitive place where amateurs and beginners are easy prey for the vultures further up the food chain. In this article, we look at trading edges. What is a trading edge? How to find an edge…

Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Zero-lag exponential moving average strategy backtest The moving average is no doubt one of the most widely used technical indicators. While there are different traditional types, many variations are being created all the time to improve on the old versions. The zero-lag exponential moving average is one of the improved versions of the exponential moving…

Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Volume-weighted average price strategy backtest Several indicators are used for technical analysis; some of these indicators combine different market data to tell a better story about what the market is doing. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP), which combines both volume and price data, is one such indicator. But what is it? Can we make profitable…

Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) Trading Strategy: Backtest and Evaluation

Triple exponential moving average strategy  One of the not-so-common moving average indicators used by traders is the triple exponential moving average (TEMA). It is an important trend indicator used by traders to identify trends more closely than a traditional moving average. But do you know what it is? And do you know if a triple…