Here is a simple mean reversion twist in SPY that holds the S&P 500 just one day (from the close to the next day’s open or close). It’s an overnight trading strategy, the lowest-hanging fruit in the stock market (?). This article was initially published in 2013, and it’s about time we updated it. We…
Since 1993, all the gains in the S&P 500 have come from owning the index from the close to the open the next day. We see the same tendency in the gold markets. Thus, we can develop night trading strategies to take advantage of this bias. At the end of the article, we update the…
What happens after an extraordinary big fall in SPY? Volatility trading strategies can be very profitable – both long and short. Let’s find out and test by using some simple variables. To measure a big fall we use the average difference between the high and the low over the last 25 days. We made the…
The S&P 500 has shown strong mean reversion tendencies for many decades. One reason for this is the tailwind in the form of 0.04% average return from the close until the next day open, so-called night trading, the lowest hang fruit in the tock market. This article looks at the performance of the overnight session…
Mondays have turned out to be reversal days, at least on the long side after a fall on Mondays or the days leading up to Monday. Let’s test a reversal trading strategy: In this article, we test a Monday overnight reversal trading strategy in the S&P 500: we go short on a Monday or Tuesday…
