Trading Edge #54

Instrument/asset

S&P 500 (SPY)

Trading rules

The OPEX week of January has been weak (the week ending the third Friday of the month). 

We make the following trading rules:

(The trading rules of the edge read like this (please also backtest yourself – you might find a way to improve it)):

  • Go long at the close of Friday one week before OPEX day in January; and
  • Sell at the close of the OPEX day (the Friday).  

Results

Trading performance if exit after N-days (100 000 and compounding):

Perhaps more interesting is the pretty steady negative “drag”:

Please also keep in mind that the OPEX week often coincides with the MLK holiday, which has been a non-trading day since 1998. 

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