Daily Trading Edge #35

Instrument/asset

S&P 500 (SPY)

Trading rules

The trading rules of the edge read like this (please also backtest yourself – you might find a way to improve it):

  • Buy at the close the day before the monthly job report; and
  • The close must be above the 200-day moving average.  

Results

Trading performance if we exit after N-days since SPY’s inception in 1993:

Equity curve if exit after 1 trading day (the day of the employment report):

Improved trading edge

This trading edge is hard to improve because it’s pretty good as it is. 

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