2 Dow Theory Trading Strategies | Setup, Rules, Backtest, Examples, and Performance Insights

The Dow Theory is widely considered one of the earliest forms of technical analysis in the western world and has always been a very integral part of technical analysis since then. But what is the theory about? The Dow Theory strategy is a technical analysis model that states the U.S. market is in an upward…

On-Balance Volume Trading Strategy | Understanding the Setup, Rules, and Conducting a Backtest

Technical indicators offer powerful insights into what is happening in the market. While price is a factor in technical analysis, volume is as important as price as this tells traders the level of activity on a given security. The On-Balance Volume Trading Strategy is one of the most popular volume indicators. Let’s find out what…

NAAIM Exposure Index Trading Strategy – Backtest

The NAAIM Exposure Index is becoming a popular indicator for tracking investor sentiment. But what is it about? Compiled by the National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM), the NAAIM Exposure Index represents the average exposure to US Equity markets reported by its members. The indicator line is a two-week moving average of the NAAIM…

3 Bullish Candlestick Patterns That Work – Backtesting and Historical Performance Insights

Very few bullish candlestick patterns work, but this article presents 3 bullish candlestick patterns that work. Even though Candlesticks are a popular charting method, very few patterns have any predictive value. We use candlesticks extensively ourselves for charting because we believe they give an excellent visualization of the price action, even though we never use…

Dogs of the Dow Trading Strategy – Rules, Performance, and Backtest

Dogs Of The Dow (DOD) Some investment strategies allow you to enjoy maximum dividend income, and Dogs of the Dow is one of such. But what does it really mean and how has it performed lately? Dogs of the Dow Trading Strategy is a stock-picking strategy for selecting the highest dividend-paying Dow stocks. This investment…

the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and Stock Market Returns – Strategy and Backtesting Insights

Consumer confidence Index tries to gauge the temperature of the economy. It swings from pessimism to optimism – just like Mr. Market who is rather manic-depressive. In the US it’s made by the Conference board and it casts doom and gloom on a monthly basis. The University of Michigan Consumer confidence index measures optimism (or…

CANSLIM Strategy – Backtesting and Insights with Innovator IBD 50 ETF

The founder of Investor’s Business Daily (IBD), William O’Neill developed the CANSLIM method to help him pick the best stocks. In his best-selling book How To Make Money In Stocks, O’Neill described his method in detail. CANSLIM is a method about how to make money in stocks, but does it work? We looked at empirical…

AAII and Market Sentiment Indicators – Trading Strategies with Index and Backtests

Can you make money on a bullish or bearish AAII market sentiment indicator? When the pessimists turn optimistic and the optimists turn pessimistic, a bottom or top is formed. If you understand market sentiment and where traders and investors feel the most pain or euphoria, you have gained a wealth of knowledge about potential turning…

Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills? (Not What You Expected)

Hendrik Bessembinder, an academic, published a study in 2017 that went on to become widely spread and known. His hypothesis was pretty straightforward: do stocks outperform Treasury Bills? No, most stocks fail to beat one-month Treasury Bills during their lifetime as a public company, a fact we assume few investors expected or knew. Between 1926…