Trading Edge #53

Instrument/asset S&P 500 (SPY) Trading rules The trading rules of the edge read like this (please also backtest yourself – you might find a way to improve it): Open is higher than yesterday’s open; and Open is lower than yesterday’s close; and Close is lower than yesterday’s close; and Close is lower than yesterday’s open….

Dollar Cost Averaging vs. Lump Sum Strategy Backtest – Managing Sequence of Return Risk

Most investors and traders are aware of the differences between dollar-cost averaging vs lump sum investing. But what role do luck and randomness play in determining the best strategy – dollar-cost averaging or lump sum investing? In this article, we dig a bit deeper and turn the returns over the last twenty years upside down…

End Of Month Effect in Bitcoin – Examining the Turn of the Month (Video)

Yes, our backtests indicate that there is an end of month effect in Bitcoin and this can potentially be a viable turn of the month trading strategy.  The end of month effect, sometimes referred to as the turn of the month effect, is well known in US stocks and most other stock indices all over…

VIX Futures Trading Strategy Backtest And Example

Want to know about the VIX futures trading strategy? Introduced in 2004, VIX futures offers market participants the ability to trade a liquid volatility product based on the VIX Index — an index that measures implied volatility in the U.S. equity market. VIX is one of the most common barometers of market sentiment. For speculative…

US Dollar Index Trading Strategy Backtest and Futures Example

U.S. Dollar Index futures offer an easy way to trade the U.S. Dollar Index (USDX or DXY), which is a measure of the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of the currencies of U.S. most important trade partners — euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc, and Swedish krona. To…

Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 Trading Strategy – Rules, Backtest, Futures Example

The micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures strategy is the method or technique that you can use to trade the micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures profitably. Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures are a type of electronically traded Nasdaq 100 futures that are one-tenth the price of the E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures. Like the e-mini and conventional…

Trading Edge #46

Instrument/asset S&P 500 (SPY) Trading rules The trading rules of the edge read like this (please also backtest yourself – you might find a way to improve it): Today is an inside day; and Yesterday was a down day of at least 1%; and Today’s close is higher than yesterday’s.  Results Trading performance if exit…

Bitcoin RSI Trading Strategy: Assessing RSI’s Effectiveness in Crypto Trading (Backtest & Trading Rules)

Does the RSI Indicator work on crypto or Bitcoin? Bitcoin and other cryptos are attracting many traders and new investors, and the crypto daily volume is rising significantly, probably draining resources from the more traditional stock trading arena. The crypto market is a completely new market that is quite different from the traditional equity markets….

Trading Strategies for Futures Expiration Week in DAX 40 and Euro Stoxx 50

Trading Strategies for Futures Expiration Week. Our backtests indicate that both DAX 40 and Euro Stoxx 50 have much better performance during the futures expiration week compared to any other random week. Let’s start with the DAX 40 contract: DAX 40 futures contracts expire four times per year: the third Friday of March, June, September,…

Micro E-mini S&P 500 Trading Strategy – Backtest, Futures Example

With the S&P 500 index rising significantly over the years, the worth of the popular E-mini S&P 500 futures became out of reach to retail traders with small accounts. This prompted CME to create the Micro E-mini S&P 500 index futures contract, to make the market accessible to small-cap retail traders. But what is the…