Daily Trading Edge #26

Instrument/asset

S&P 500 (SPY)

Trading rules

The trading rules of the edge read like this (please also backtest yourself – you might find a way to improve it):

  • Today’s close is a Bearish Engulfing pattern candlestick

We have quantified all candlesticks in a separate product which you find by clicking here.

Results

Trading performance if exit after N-days:

There are many trades and the pattern looks decent. Can it be improved?

Improved Trading Edge

Sometimes the Bearish Engulfing pattern happens when it’s “overbought”. Let’s add a filter that the 5-day RSI must be below 45:

It improves up until 5 days, but not after that. If we exit after 3 trading days we get the following equity curve:

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